Added more images to assets & included in results.

claude_rewrite
Will King 1 year ago
parent becefe15e0
commit 37d35377b3

@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ Most trials lasted less than 1,500 days, as can be seen in
\ref{fig:trial_durations}. \ref{fig:trial_durations}.
Although there are a large number of snapshots that will be used to fit the Although there are a large number of snapshots that will be used to fit the
model, the number of trials -- the unit of observation -- are quite low. model, the number of trials -- the unit of observation -- are quite low.
Add to the fact that these are spread over multiple IDC-10 categories Add to the fact that these are spread over multiple ICD-10 categories
and the overall quantity of trials is quite low. and the overall quantity of trials is quite low.
To continue, we can use a scatterplot to get a rough idea of the observed To continue, we can use a scatterplot to get a rough idea of the observed
@ -26,21 +26,21 @@ the correlation (measured at $0.34$) is apparent.
\begin{figure}[H] \begin{figure}[H]
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/current/pred_dist_diff-delay} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/HistTrialDurations_Faceted}
\todo{Replace this graphic with the histogram of trial durations} \todo{Replace this graphic with the histogram of trial durations}
\caption{Histograms of Trial Durations} \caption{Histograms of Trial Durations}
\label{fig:trial_durations} \label{fig:trial_durations}
\end{figure} \end{figure}
\begin{figure}[H] \begin{figure}[H]
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/current/pred_dist_diff-delay} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/HistSnapshots}
\todo{Replace this graphic with the histogram of snapshots} \todo{Replace this graphic with the histogram of snapshots}
\caption{Histogram of the count of Snapshots} \caption{Histogram of the count of Snapshots}
\label{fig:snapshot_counts} \label{fig:snapshot_counts}
\end{figure} \end{figure}
\begin{figure}[H] \begin{figure}[H]
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/current/pred_dist_diff-delay} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/SnapshotsVsDurationVsTermination}
\todo{Replace this graphic with the scatterplot comparing durations and snapshots} \todo{Replace this graphic with the scatterplot comparing durations and snapshots}
\caption{Scatterplot comparing the Count of Snapshots and Trial Duration} \caption{Scatterplot comparing the Count of Snapshots and Trial Duration}
\label{fig:snapshot_counts} \label{fig:snapshot_counts}
@ -63,15 +63,14 @@ Estimated Baysian Fraction of Missing Information (E-BFMI) ,
suggesting that there are some parts of the posterior distribution suggesting that there are some parts of the posterior distribution
that were not explored well during the model fitting. that were not explored well during the model fitting.
I presume this is due to the low number of trials in some of the I presume this is due to the low number of trials in some of the
IDC-10 categories. ICD-10 categories.
We can see in Figure \ref{fig:barchart_idc_categories} that some of these We can see in Figure \ref{fig:barchart_idc_categories} that some of these
disease categories had a single trial represented while others were disease categories had a single trial represented while others were
not represented at all. not represented at all.
\begin{figure}[H] \begin{figure}[H]
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/current/pred_dist_diff-delay} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/CategoryCounts}
\todo{Replace this graphic with the barchart of trials by categories.} \caption{Bar chart of trials by ICD-10 categories}
\caption{Bar chart of trials by IDC-10 categories}
\label{fig:barchart_idc_categories} \label{fig:barchart_idc_categories}
\end{figure} \end{figure}
@ -86,7 +85,7 @@ keeping enrollment open.
\begin{figure}[H] \begin{figure}[H]
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/current/pred_dist_diff-delay} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/DirectEffects/p_delay_intervention_distdiff_boxplot}
\todo{Replace this graphic with the histdiff with boxplot} \todo{Replace this graphic with the histdiff with boxplot}
\small{ \small{
Values near 1 indicate a near perfect increase in the probability Values near 1 indicate a near perfect increase in the probability
@ -98,7 +97,7 @@ keeping enrollment open.
from unlikely to terminate under control, to highly likely to from unlikely to terminate under control, to highly likely to
terminate. terminate.
} }
\caption{Distribution of Predicted Differences} \caption{Histogram of the Distribution of Predicted Differences}
\label{fig:pred_dist_diff_delay} \label{fig:pred_dist_diff_delay}
\end{figure} \end{figure}
@ -142,7 +141,7 @@ issues with participant enrollment.
If this is the case, we should be able to isolate categories that contribute If this is the case, we should be able to isolate categories that contribute
the most to this effect. the most to this effect.
Another is that this might be a modelling artefact, due to the relatively Another is that this might be a modelling artefact, due to the relatively
low number of trials in certain IDC-10 categories. low number of trials in certain ICD-10 categories.
In short, there might be high levels of uncertanty in some parameter values, In short, there might be high levels of uncertanty in some parameter values,
which manifest as fat tails in the distributions of the $\beta$ parameters. which manifest as fat tails in the distributions of the $\beta$ parameters.
Because of the logistic format of the model, these fat tails lead to Because of the logistic format of the model, these fat tails lead to
@ -203,7 +202,7 @@ many, if not all, of the disease categories.
Figure \ref{fig:pred_dist_dif_delay2} shows how this overall Figure \ref{fig:pred_dist_dif_delay2} shows how this overall
result comes from different disease categories. result comes from different disease categories.
\begin{figure}[H] \begin{figure}[H]
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/current/pred_dist_diff-delay-group} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{../assets/img/DirectEffects/p_delay_intervention_distdiff_by_group}
\caption{Distribution of Predicted differences by Disease Group} \caption{Distribution of Predicted differences by Disease Group}
\label{fig:pred_dist_dif_delay2} \label{fig:pred_dist_dif_delay2}
\end{figure} \end{figure}

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