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Will King 12 months ago
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Key points
This is an attempt at measuring the effect of extending the enrollment period.
The main issue is that the interaction between enrollment levels, enrollment status, and timing is confounded due to endogeneity.
This can be addressed
The other concerns are:
- endogeneity between market and population.
I this isn't a caual issue because it is contained between the two, can be treated as a single RV and controlled for together.
- ommitted variable bias. Did I forget or miss anything?
- The DAG is based on the details outlined based on FDA rules. I NEED TO LOOK THOSE UP AGAIN. The Assumptions that allow this to work are:
1. timeliness/accuracy in reporting open and close
2. updating certain details (open/close recruitment) is helpful because this is part of your marketing. (Concerns about measurement error)
3.
- Where did the DAG come from?
In spite of the endogeneity issue, I chose to continue modelling as if it were causal, because:
1. If we assume an intervetion that is handles the joint timing/enrollment status together, then it is causally identified (but hard to interpret)
- Walking away from identification is an issue in that you lose the use of this analysis
- Interpretation is as follows: changing enrollment status but breaking out of the standard timing of these things. Need a better way to say that.
2.
This is the only attempt I've found that tries to address this in a causal way, everything else is just descriptive.
It also differs in being the first econ literature on measuring the impact of an operational concern.
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