\documentclass[../Main.tex]{subfiles} \graphicspath{{\subfix{Assets/img/}}} \begin{document} With the laws of motion introduced in sections \cref{asdf}, we can now describe the optimization problem facing each constellation operator. Each operator recieve utility in each period per their per period utility $u^i(\vec s_t,D_t)$, which depends on the current sizes of constellations and the level of debris. In addition, the operator pays for the launch of $x^i_t$ satellites according to the cost function $F(x)$. These satellites will become operational in the next period. Thus the $M$-period (possibly infinite), problem is: \begin{align} \max_{\{\vec x_t\}^M}&~ E\left[ \sum^M_{t=0} \beta^t u^i(\vec s_t, D_t) - F(x^i_t) \right] \\ &\text{subject to:}\\ & s^i_{t+1} = (1-l^i(\vec s_t, D_t))s^i_t +x^i_t ~~~ \forall i \\ & D_{t+1} = (1-\delta)D_t + g(D_t) + \gamma \sum^N_{i=1} l^i(\vec s_t, D_t) + \Gamma \sum^N_{i=1} x^i_t \end{align} %Assumptions % - Identical launch costs % - Identical debris production from destruction. % \subsection{Infinite Period (Bellman) Equation} The problem above can be rewritten in the bellman form as \begin{align} V^i(\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t) = \max_{x^i_t} u^i(\vec s_t, D_t) -F(x) + \beta \left[ V^i(\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1}) \right] \end{align} where $x^{\sim i}_t$ represents the launch decisions of all the other constellation operators. This implies that the policy function is a best response function, allowing for a nash equilibrium interpretation of the result. To solve for the policy function, we have a variety of methods available. Due to the computational method chosen later, I'm going to examine the conditions for the existence of an euler equation. \subsubsection{Euler Equation} First, find the single optimality condition \begin{align} 0 =& \parder{}{x^i_t}{} u^i(\vec s_t, D_t) -\parder{}{x^i_t}{}F(x) + \beta \left[ \parder{}{x^i_t}{} V^i(\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1}) \right] \\ 0 =& -\der{F}{x^i_t}{} + \beta \left[ \nabla_{\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1}} V^i(\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1}) \cdot \nabla_{x^i_t} [ \vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1} ] \right] \label{EQ:OptimalityCondition}\\ 0 =& -\der{F}{x^i_t}{} + \beta \nabla V^i_t \cdot \vec a_t \label{EQ:SimplifiedOptimalityCondition} \end{align} Second, the $2N$\footnote{recall that $N$ is the number of constellations.} envelope conditions can also be found: \begin{align} \nabla_{\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t} V^i(\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t) =& \nabla_{\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t} u^i(\vec s_t, D_t) \notag \\ &- \der{}{x}{}F(x^i(\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t)) \cdot \nabla_{\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t} x^i(\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t) \notag\\ &+ \beta \left[ \nabla_{\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1} } V^i(\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1}) \cdot \nabla_{\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t} [ \vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1} ] \right] \label{EQ:EnvelopeConditions} \\ \nabla \vec V^i_t =& \vec u^i - \vec f + \beta A \cdot \nabla \vec V^i_{t+1} \label{EQ:SimplifiedEnvelopeConditions} \end{align} When interpreting this, note that $$ \nabla \vec V^i_{t+1} = \nabla_{\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1} } V^i(\vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1}) $$ is a $2N \times 1$ vector of first derivatives but $$ A = \nabla_{\vec s_t, \vec x^{\sim i}_t, D_t} [ \vec s_{t+1}, \vec x^{\sim i}_{t+1}, D_{t+1} ] $$ is a $2N \times 2N$ matrix of first derivatives. By solving for $\vec V^i_{t+1}$ as a function of $\vec V^i_{t}$ we get the intertemporal condition: \begin{align} \frac{1}{\beta} A^{-1} \left(\nabla \vec V^i_t - \vec u^i +\vec f \right) = \nabla \vec V^i_{t+1} \end{align} Thus one crucial condition for the existence of a solution is that $A^{-1}$ exists for all values the laws of motion and choice functions can take. % \subsection{Existence} % I need to do some more diving into conditions for existence. % Of particular concern is that the way I have specified the debris may lead to % non-convergence. % Finally, to construct the euler equation, we take \cref{EQ:SimplifiedOptimalityCondition} and iterate it forward $2N-1$ times. By substituting \cref{EQ:SimplifiedEnvelopeConditions} into each iteration enough times you get a system that defines $\nabla V^i_t$ By substituting this defined value of $\nabla V^i_t$ into \cref{EQ:SimplifiedOptimalityCondition} one final time, we get a function that fully determines the policy function. \cref{EQ:SimplifiedOptimalityConditions,EQ:SimplifiedEnvelopeConditions} \end{document}