From 5ee3e2eafddd1be13a24076400ace32894522f1b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Will King Date: Wed, 9 Feb 2022 10:31:52 -0800 Subject: [PATCH] Update 'Concept paper 2022 02 09' --- Concept-paper-2022-02-09.md | 6 ++++-- 1 file changed, 4 insertions(+), 2 deletions(-) diff --git a/Concept-paper-2022-02-09.md b/Concept-paper-2022-02-09.md index 9d74922..b6f5a22 100644 --- a/Concept-paper-2022-02-09.md +++ b/Concept-paper-2022-02-09.md @@ -45,8 +45,8 @@ The probabalistic model could then be used to answer various questions, includin It would also be straightforward to develop simulations from this approach, as the probabilities are right there. # Estimation Strategy -Probably use a non-parametric bayesian approach to estimating the probability densities? -[AbrantesMetz-Adams-and-Metz] use a hazards model. +Probably use a non-parametric bayesian approach to estimating the probability densities. +[[AbrantesMetz-Adams-and-Metz]] use a mixed state proportional hazards model. ## Phase Completion Probabilities: @@ -61,6 +61,8 @@ I may also include the combined phases - P(completing combined phase 1-2 & duration phase 1-2 | Data) - P(completing combined phase 2-2 & duration phase 2-3 | Data & transitioned to phase 2 & duration phase 1) +I think there might be a way of condensing these using "phase endpoints" as a marker, and not the phase type itself. + ## Phase Transition Probabilities: The goal is to estimate