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JobMarketPaper/Paper/sections/09_Conclusion.tex

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\documentclass[../Main.tex]{subfiles}
\graphicspath{{\subfix{Assets/img/}}}
\begin{document}
Identifying commercial impediments to successfully completing
clinical trials in otherwise capable pharmaceuticals will hopefully
lead to a more robust and competitive pharmaceutical market.
Although the current state of this research is insufficient to draw robust
conclusions, these early results suggest that delaying the close of
enrollment periods reduces the probability of termination of a trial.
The successful completion of Phase III clinical trials is crucial for
bringing new treatments to market.
This research provides insights into how enrollment management
impacts trial outcomes.
While the preliminary results suggest that delaying the close of enrollment
periods may reduce termination probability, the analysis
reveals significant variation across disease categories and highlights
important methodological challenges.
The primary limitation that must be addressed before drawing a strong conclusion
is that of insufficient data.
This takes two forms.
The first is the small sample size.
To overcome this requires an improved data matching
approach and a revised data scraper.
The second is creating a model of enrollment that can be used to address
the causal identification issue from the joint determination of
enrollment statuses and elapsed durations of trials.
Despite these limitations, this work establishes a framework for analyzing
operational versus strategic factors in clinical trial completion.
The approach developed here can be extended with additional data to
provide more definitive guidance on enrollment management strategies.
Further research in this direction could help reduce operational
barriers to trial completion or estimating the impact policies may have through
operational channels.
Ultimately this work will hopefully support more efficient drug
development and increased market competition.
\end{document}