* 2025 ** 2025-W03 *** 2025-01-18 Saturday **** [2025-01-18 Sat 11:54] [[[[file:/home/will/research/phd_deliverables/JobMarketPaper/Paper/sections/11_intro_and_lit.tex::45]]]] Need to decide whether or not to include this set of sentences. **** [2025-01-18 Sat 11:58] [[[[file:/home/will/research/phd_deliverables/JobMarketPaper/Paper/sections/11_intro_and_lit.tex::45]]]] decide whether to include these details here ** 2025-W17 *** 2025-04-21 Monday **** [2025-04-21 Mon 11:17] Plan based on last weeks thinking things through get list of things that Tom says I'm Missing - Needs more citations - Standard econometric concerns: Endogenetiy, Simultineatiy, etc. - Needs to justify why I am doing what I am doing. What do I add? Marketwide attempt to measure the impact of enrollment, an operational concern. - Integrate additional literature I've worked with. - How big of a concern is operational results (about 22% of failures) - Topics of how to address issues and what issues arise are common (give a couple of examples) - Efforts to reduce failures include better pharmokinetics, attempts at improving enrollment, better enrollment prediction (huge lit). Then look at my outline: - How can I adjust it to address those missing bits? - How can I simplify the structure? Maybe a discussion of concerns about simultineity/endogeneity/other confounds/etc is where I bring up the confounding parameters and then build a list of how things interact. I then use this to flesh out the DAG, and introduce the backdoor criterion. I think I'll put this together as a bullet point draft, using the * and - notation for paragraphs and sentences respectively. Try to get the main points of each sentence/paragraph out. ***** List of issues identified by Tom: Reference style (Author year) Reference better and more often. Introduction needs to motivate the problem & what I am trying to do. (could use the sources I have on reasons for failures) Various issues with tense etc. Use Claude.ai as editor for those. Reorder sections or outline better Causal inference vs DAG approach - standard concens in causal inference - DAG isn't causal inference in Toms view. He is right, DAG isn't but backdoor criterion is. - Will need to discuss standard concerns and how they may be related and then incorporate that into the DAG - Then will need to discuss backdoor criterion, the backdoor paths that exist, and choosing adjustment sets - Replace bullet points with paragraphs (page 12) maybe use claude to convert that? - Page 18 comment: Refer to Robins What IF book to get citation Thoughts: Chapter 10: Lists 3 sources of bias in preceeding chapters (7,8,9) - Selection - Measurement - Confounders As I understand it, setting up the graph allows you to note where you might have issues with all 3. Do-calc gives you the adjustment set to handle confounding and selection, while measurement is handled either through modelling uncertanty or improving you measurement approach. ***** Reading to complete before rewriting: I think I should start by rereading (and taking notes on) What If and the Causal Mixtape.